NFL
NFL notes
Early board reads, opener-week market checks, and game-by-game notes.
NFL Thursday Special — SF @ LAR (Melbourne)
The first NFL game ever played in Australia is a single-game slate where the total is the only number with a gap — and even that stays watch-only. A new player-sim layer adds the 'who scores' texture: CMC at 46.8% any-TD and Nacua at 72 rec yards are the two names to watch, but everything stays shadow-tier.
NFL Week 1 Wednesday-Thursday Opener
Week 1 opens Wednesday in Seattle and Thursday in Melbourne. The model calls both games near coin-flips; the travel asymmetry, the Donald and Garrett availability gates, and Puka Nacua's status are where the value hides.
Very Early NFL Week 1 Notes: Numbers to Re-Check
A research-only Week 1 board with Saints +7, Titans -2.5, Dolphins +3.5, Giants +2.5, Broncos +3, and the Niners/Rams under on the re-check list.